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Obama Says He Removed 97% of Iran’s Enriched Uranium Without Firing a Single Missile

15 May, 2026 11:48

As the Iran war grinds toward its fourth month with no resolution in sight, the architect of the agreement that prevented this conflict has a simple question: why was it destroyed?

Barack Obama has broken his characteristic post-presidential restraint to defend the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action — the nuclear agreement his administration negotiated with Iran in 2015 — with a pointed factual claim: his diplomacy removed 97 percent of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile without a single missile fired, without a single American casualty, and without closing the Strait of Hormuz to global shipping.

Every part of that statement is verifiable. And the contrast with the current situation — tens of thousands dead, $50 billion spent, oil at $110 per barrel, and Iran’s nuclear program more advanced than it was before the war began — is the argument Obama is making without quite stating it directly.

What the JCPOA Actually Achieved

The 2015 agreement, signed by Iran alongside the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia, and China, produced concrete and verified results. Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile was reduced from approximately 10,000 kilograms to 300 kilograms — a 97 percent reduction. Its centrifuge numbers were cut by two-thirds. The Arak heavy water reactor, capable of producing weapons-grade plutonium, was redesigned to eliminate that capability. The IAEA deployed its most intrusive inspection regime ever negotiated, with access to declared and undeclared sites.

The International Atomic Energy Agency certified Iranian compliance with these terms in every quarterly report from implementation in January 2016 until the United States withdrew in May 2018. Iran was not cheating. The agreement was working.

What Happened After Withdrawal

Trump’s 2018 withdrawal from the JCPOA — which Professor Jeffrey Sachs and others have attributed directly to Netanyahu’s lobbying — triggered a predictable Iranian response. Tehran began systematically reversing its JCPOA commitments: enriching uranium to higher levels, installing advanced centrifuges, reducing IAEA access. By the time the February 2026 conflict began, Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile had grown to levels far exceeding what existed before the JCPOA was negotiated.

The military campaign that followed has not restored the pre-JCPOA situation. Classified US intelligence assessments confirm Iran retains 70 percent of its pre-war missile stockpile, 90 percent of its underground facilities are operational, and its nuclear program continues progressing during the ceasefire period.

The diplomatic framework removed 97 percent of Iran’s enriched uranium. The military campaign has not removed any of it.

The Unanswerable Question

Obama’s intervention poses a question that the current administration has not answered: what has the military approach achieved that the diplomatic approach had not already achieved more cheaply, more safely, and more verifiably?

The JCPOA cost no lives. It cost no munitions. It did not close the Strait of Hormuz or drive oil to $110 per barrel. It did not deplete American missile stockpiles to levels that alarm sitting senators. It simply worked — until a political decision ended it.

History is rendering its verdict on that decision in real time.

Disclaimer; Based on Obama’s publicly available statements and IAEA compliance reporting.

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